This week’s updated odds showed movement among 6 candidates:

Hillary Clinton continued to be the top candidate and actually improved her probability from 41% to 45%.

Rick Perry improved moving into a three way tie with Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan.  As of early July he was in 10th place and 7th place just last week. He seems to be capitalizing on the border crisis.  His probability is at 3.1%

The biggest move was from Ben Carson who moved from being 45th end of June, to 29th last week, to 12th this week.  Odds doubled as payoff moved from +10000 to +5000. Carson announced he is forming a PAC on  Friday.  His probability is still low at 1.3%.

Mitt Romney saw another improvement to the 10th spot and now tied with Ted Cruz.  He was in the 30th spot in May and June.  Perhaps it’s due to a recent poll that showed voters would vote for Romney over Obama if they could vote today, or some may now be seeing Romney as the “lovable loser”. Romeny’s probability is now at 1.6%.

Marco Rubio has dropped from a tie for second to third place, perhaps the offset to Rick Perry’s move up and Rubio’s more moderate view on Immigration reform.

Bobby Jindal saw a slight drop from a tie for 10th with Ted Cruz to 12th place as Mitt Romney moved into the 10th spot.

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