CNN Poll taken 7/18-7/20 of 1,012 adults by Telephone
Republican nomination:
Chris Christie leading possible Republican candidates at 13% followed by Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee at 12% and Rick Perry and Paul Ryan at 11%. Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz are next at 8%
Christie and Perry show the biggest gain since their February 2014 poll gaining 3%.
Marco Rubio had the biggest decline from 9% to 6%.
All of these moves are within the poll’s +/- 4.5% sampling error
| July 18-20 | May 29-June 1 | May 2-4 | Mar. 7-9 | Jan. 31-Feb. 2 | |
| Christie | 13% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Paul | 12% | 14% | 13% | 16% | 13% |
| Huckabee | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 14% |
| Perry | 11% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 8% |
| Ryan | 11% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 9% |
| Bush | 8% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 10% |
| Cruz | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| Rubio | 6% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Walker | 5% | 5% | 7% | NA | NA |
| Santorum | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% |
| Someone else | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 8% |
| None/No one | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| No Opinion | 3% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
No surprise the Hillary Clinton leads by a long shot here at 67%.
What has changed in the last few months has been the emergence of Elizabeth Warren (10%) as the #2 candidate ahead of Joe Biden (8%).
Warren had the biggest improvement in the poll since September 2013 improving by 3% while Biden has decreased by 2%.
July 18-20 Nov. 18-20 Sept. 6-8
2014 2013 2013
Clinton 67% 63% 65%
Warren 10% 7% 7%
Biden 8% 12% 10%
Cuomo 4% 5% 6%
O’Malley 2% 2% 2%
Someone else (vol.) 6% 6% 4%
None/No one (vol.) 2% 3% 5%
No opinion 1% 3% 2%
Romney vs. Obama and Romney vs. Clinton:
One interesting question is if there was an election today, who would you vote for, Romney or Obama? Romney wins 53% to 44%.
Similar question with Romney vs. Clinton. Clinton wins 55% to 42%
If you’d like to access the poll for more in depth analysis click here
For the odds on all the candidates
For recent news on the race
For recent Polls
For updates on the 2016 Presidential race, follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds
Views – 1051