Updated Weekly Odds: New Highs for Trump and Sanders; Big Drops for Clinton, Cruz, and Christie

There was a lot of movement after the last Republican debate and two weeks before the Iowa caucus.

Hillary Clinton saw a big drop from 66.6% to 59.4%.  That is the single biggest move of anyone any time during this campaign.  This is the lowest she has been since the end of October and prior to that had been up in 14 of the last 15 weeks.  She is still comfortably in first place however.

The biggest move up was by Donald Trump.  He is now in second place overall jumping over Marco Rubio.  He was up 4.6% to 13%.  His previous high was at 8.5% back in the middle of September.

Rubio dropped 0.2% to 9%.  This is his seventh straight drop and the lowest he has been since end of October.

Bernie Sanders saw a similar pop to Trump.  He was up from 2.8% to 7.2%.  This is his highest mark, with his previous high coming at 6% in October.

Ted Cruz saw the second biggest declining dropping from 5.1% to 4.3%. This was his third straight drop and his lowest mark since the middle of December.

Jeb Bush finally saw a slight increase after dropping for 5 straight weeks.  He was up 0.2% to 2.5%, his highest in nearly a month.

Chris Christie was the third candidate to see a big decline.  He dropped from 1.7% to 1.2%.  He has now declined for three straight weeks and is at his lowest point since the end of November.  Despite the drop, he remains in 7th place.

The man to keep an eye on is Michael Bloomberg.  Although his odds have not increased much, he has risen in the standings as others have fallen.  He is now in 8th place overall at 0.4%.

Here are the full standings:

January 16 2016 pres odds

 

 

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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