Updated Weekly Odds: Walker Drops out; Clinton and Trump Dropping; Rubio and Biden with Big Gains; Fiorina and Carson Strong

Hillary Clinton’s odds declined from 39.8% to 38.2%.  That is the lowest she has been in seven months and 8th straight week she has dropped.  She continues to have a commanding lead however with more than a 3 to 1 margin.

Hillary’s drop was a result of a big jump in Joe Biden’s Odds.  Biden improved from 5.2% to 7.6% and has now improved in the last 9 weeks when he was merely at 1.5%.  Over that time he has climbed from 7th place all the way to 3rd place this week.

On the Republican side, Jeb Bush continues to have the highest odds at 11.9%, but he has also seen his odds drop recently.  He is at the lowest point in 3 months.

Donald Trump has struggled over the last two weeks.  He sees the biggest drop on the Republican side going from 7.9% to 6.8%.  That is his lowest mark in the last 4 weeks.

Bush’s and Trump’s drops seem to have gone to Marco Rubio.  Rubio had the largest jump on the Republican side improving from 3.8% to 5.8%.  That was enough to have him jump back into the top 5 ahead of Bernie Sanders.

Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson continued to make noise, both jumping two spots to 7th and 8th place respectively.

Scott Walker surprised everyone with when he announced he was withdrawing.  His odds dropped from 2.2% and 7th place to 1.3% and 10th place. Walker was once one of the top candidates and was in 4th place between February and August.

Here are the full odds:

September 26 2015 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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