Update Weekly Odds: Clinton and Cruz Continue Hot Streaks; Rubio Down; Graham Out

Hillary Clinton continued to add to her enormous lead increasing 1.2% to 66.2%.  She has now been up for thirteen straight weeks.

Clinton’s closest competitor is Marco Rubio.  Rubio dropped 0.9% to 9.8%.  That is his fourth straight drop from a high of 12.2% the end of November.

Donald Trump continues to be in third place up 0.1% to 7.3%.  Trump has been in the 7%-7.3% the last five weeks.

The hottest candidate has been Ted Cruz.  He was up 0.5% this week to 5.4%.  Cruz has now been up the last 14 weeks from a mere 0.8%!

Jeb Bush and Bernie Sanders round out the top 6 but both have been cold lately.  Both drop 0.1% with Bush now at 2.4% and Sanders at 2.2%.

Lindsey Graham withdrew from the race.  He was never a factor, reaching his highest point in the middle of November at 23rd place, well behind people who have not even declared.

Here is the full list:

December 26 2015 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

 

Views – 863

Updated Odds: Clinton Continues Hot Streak; Cruz Closing Gap on Rubio; Second Tier Candidates Struggle

Although there was no changes in the positioning of the top 10 candidates, the odds themselves changed.

Hillary Clinton continued to expand her enormous lead from 64.5% to 65.1%. That is the 12th straight week of increase starting at just 39.2% back in the beginning of October.

Marco Rubio continues to be in second but had a big drop from 11.7% to 10.7%.  He has dropped for three straight weeks when he peaked at 12.2%.

Rubio’s drop was captured entirely by Ted Cruz, who continues in 4th place but gains 1.3% to 4.9%.  He remains the hottest candidate in the field having been up for 13 straight weeks from a just 0.8% in the middle of September.

Donald Trump continues to run third at 7.3% up 0.2% from the prior week.  He has been fairly steady in the 7% range the last 4 weeks.

Jeb Bush resumed his decline to 2.5% from 2.9%.  That is the lowest he has been.

Bernie Sanders remains Clinton’s top competition for the Democrats, but drops once again to 2.3% from 2.5%.  He has dropped eight straight weeks since peaking at 6.0%.

Chris Christie seems to be the only other viable candidate (probably because of his polling in NH).  He is in 7th place and steady at 1.8%.

The rest of the top 10 seems to be on life support:

Carson drops 0.2% to 0.4% and had dropped for 7 straight weeks.

John Kasich drops 0.1% to 0.3% and has dropped 11 straight weeks.

Carly Fiorina drops 0.1% to 0.3% and has dropped 9 straight weeks.

Here are the full odds:

December 19 2015 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 927

Updated Odds: Clinton Expands Lead, Cruz Continues Hot Streak while Carson and Sanders Continue Free Fall; Bush, Christie Bottom?

Hillary Clinton extended her lead increasing her odds to 64.5% from 63.2%.  She has now improved the last eleven weeks starting at 38.2%.

Marco Rubio continues to be in second place although he dropped 0.4% to 11.7%.  That is his second straight drop and the lowest he has been in about a month.

Donald Trump remained in 3rd place flat at 7.1%. Trump’s peak was at 8.5% in the middle of September.

Ted Cruz continued to be the hottest candidate improving 0.4% to 3.5%.  This was enough to jump him to 4th place overall.  He has now been up for twelve straight weeks back when he was at 0.8% and in 13th place.

Jeb Bush may have finally hit bottom.  He was up for the first time in 15 weeks.  He was up 0.1% to 2.9%.  He moves into 5th place.

Another person to keep an eye on is Chris Christie.  He was up 0.3% to 1.8%.  This is the second straight week he has been up and the highest he has been since April.

The biggest drop was Bernie Sanders who moved from 4th place to 6th place. He dropped 0.7% from 3.2% to 2.5%.  Sanders has now dropped for seven straight weeks from 6.0%.

Ben Carson saw another big drop from 1.1% to 0.6%.  He remains in 8th place but has now dropped the last 6 weeks.

Here are the full standings:

December 12 2015 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 929

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