Hillary Clinton increased her commanding lead from 60.9% to 62.9%. She has been in the 60% to 63% range the last five weeks.

After a bad two weeks, Donald Trump rebounded a bit from 14.1% to 14.8%.  That is still well below the 23% he was at three weeks ago.

Bernie Sanders had the biggest drop, moving from 9.5% to 7.7%. That is still well above his trend from March.

Ted Cruz improved from 7% to 7.7% setting another new high and catching Sanders for third place.

John Kasich struggles for the second straight week dropping from 3.6% to 2.9%.  He peaked two weeks ago at 4.1%.

Paul Ryan announced that he will not be seeking the nomination at the convention nor will he accept it.  He also stated he believes if it becomes a contested convention, the candidate chosen should be a candidate that actually ran this year.  That shook the odds of the candidates currently not in the race.  Ryan dropped from 2.3% to 1.4%.  Mitt Romney dropped from 0.6% to 0.5%.  Marco Rubio, who was no longer in the odds, came back in at 0.5%.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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Hillary Clinton continued to lead the race although she dropped for the second straight week coming in a still very healthy 60.9% compared to 62.3% last week and 63.2% two weeks prior.

Donald Trump continued to be the front runner for the Republicans but saw his numbers drop for a third straight week.  He came in at 14.1% down from last week’s 17.6% and 23.4% four weeks ago.

Both Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz reached new highs this week.

Sanders came in at 9.5%, up from 7.3% last week.  This is the highest he has been since mid February when he was at 7.7%.

Ted Cruz came in at 7.0% up from 5.1% last week.  This is the highest he has been since Christmas week when he was at 5.4%.

With Cruz gaining momentum, John Kasich has become the forgotten man.  He drops from 4.1% to 3.6%.  This is still the third highest he has been the entire race.

The more interesting movement is with the undeclared candidates who would need a contested primary or no candidate gets the 270 electoral votes in the elections.

Here Paul Ryan is now up to 2.3% from 1.7%  He has now been up for seven straight weeks from 0.2%.  Joe Biden is up from 1.4% to 2.0%.  He was not even in the odds at the end of January.  Mitt Romney is up from 0.5% to 0.6%.  He was actually ahead of Ryan just a month ago.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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Hillary Clinton continued to have a comfortable lead, dropping slightly from 63.2% to 62.3%.  This is her third straight week over 60%.

Donald Trump had the biggest movement dropping from 23% to 17.6%.  This is the lowest he has been in the last 6 weeks as comments about punishing women for abortion (later backtracked) and his nuclear policy took front stage.

Bernie Sanders had a significant improvement moving from 4.8% to 7.3%, his highest in the last six weeks.  This was a result of him sweeping Clinton in three states last week (Alaska, Hawaii, Washington)

With Trump’s drop, his two Republican rivals gained.  Ted Cruz improved from 3.3% to 5.1%.  That is the highest he has been in 12 weeks. John Kasich improved from 2.8% to 4.1%.  That is the highest he has been in the race. Previous high was 3.8% two weeks ago.

The person who’s odds have consistently gained the last six weeks is Paul Ryan.  He jumps from 0.9% to 1.7%.  He was at merely 0.2% seven weeks ago. That is the highest he has been since January of 2015.  He has always maintained he is not running.  This is a play on both a contested primary, as well as the possibility of an independent run by someone causing no outright winner in the general elections.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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