Category Archives: Buttigieg 2020

2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Buttigieg 2020, Pence 2020, Trump 2020

Trump’s odds skyrocket after William Barr’s summary while odds of 9 out of the next 10 competitors drop with biggest drop for Pence; Buttigieg continues to be hottest name doubling his odds; Biden sees drop on allegations of inappropriate touching

Donald Trump’s odds skyrocketed a week after William Barr’s summary of the Mueller report. The President took a “victory tour” and his odds jumped from 2.75X to 2.41X. These are his best odds in 7 months. He was at 2.33X in the middle of August.

The increase came at the expense of other candidates as 9 out of the next 10 top candidates dropped including Trump’s VP Mike Pence. Pence’s odds had the biggest drop, moving from 45.2X to 58.7X, marking a new low. Pence was as high as 8.0X back at the end of 2016. He is currently in 12th place.

The only candidate in the top 10 to improve was Pete Buttigieg. Buttigieg remains the hottest name in the field, having now improved in 8 straight weeks. This week his odds more than doubled moving from 40.5X to 19.0X. This was enough to move him to 6th place overall. He was in 30th place merely five weeks ago. The “millennial mayor” has become the early surprise of a crowded field.

The anticipation of Joe Biden’s candidacy over the last few weeks propelled his odds from 10.9X to 7.18X. Those odds saw a big drop this week on accusations of inappropriate touching. He is now at 7.96X dropping from 3rd place to 4th. With the accusations coming late in the week, it won’t be surprising to see a bigger drop in odds next week.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 520
2020 Weekly Odds, Biden 2020, Buttigieg 2020, Sanders 2020, Trump 2020

Conclusion of Mueller investigation helps Trump’s odds; Buttigieg’s hot streak lands him in top 10; Sanders focuses on CA while reports tease Biden’s potential VP pick; Both jump Harris for 2nd and 3rd place

News of the conclusion of the Mueller investigation seemed to give Donald Trump’s odds a boost. His odds improved from 2.85X to 2.75X. His odds have now improved the last 4 weeks and have reached their highest in three months.

One of the hottest names recently has been Pete Buttigieg. His odds skyrocketed this week from 63.5X to 40.5X, improving his standing from 14th place to 10th place. He made his debut in the odds merely 9 weeks ago at 103.6X (42nd place) when the 37 year old made his candidacy official.

Bernie Sanders is focusing on CA as the state’s move to an earlier primary makes is a big player. His momentum continued this week with his odds improving from 7.16X to 7.07X which allowed him to jump Kamala Harris for second overall.

Joe Biden also jumped Kamala Harris this week as his odds improved from 7.57X to 7.18X, putting him in 3rd place overall. Although he has not officially announced, stories leaked of him considering Stacey Abrams as his VP candidate and him committing to just one term, both ways to combat one of his perceived weaknesses being age.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 511
2020 Weekly Odds, Buttigieg 2020, Harris 2020, Sanders 2020, Schultz 2020, Trump 2020, Warren 2020

Trump’s odds decline to lowest in 11 months; Kamala Harris reaches new highs; Sanders set to announce; Schultz running as independent? Pete Buttigieg makes it official, makes debut in odds

Donald Trump’s odds continued their slow decline. He has been down the past 11 weeks, with this week dropping from 2.90X to 2.96X. These are his lowest odds in 11 months. He is now slightly more than twice as likely to win as his next closest competitor Kamala Harris. It will be interesting to see if this trend changes next week with the shutdown ending on Friday. Over the 5 weeks of the shutdown, his net approval rating has gone from around -10% to the current -17%.

Kamala Harris’ odds have been heading in the opposite direction. She was up this week from 7.17X to 6.57X. These are the highest odds ANYONE other than Trump has had this cycle. She has been up the past 6 weeks and has sucked up all the 2020 Democratic coverage the last two weeks.

Bernie Sanders appears to be set to announce he is running. His odds jumped from 20.7X to 17.1X, his highest in 3 months. This was enough to jump him ahead of Elizabeth Warren for 5th place overall.

It appears Howard Schultz will announce he is thinking about running as an independent on 60 minutes. His odds have been up the last few weeks, with this week coming in at 84.5X from last week’s 87.5X. That was enough to move him from 32nd place to 29th place.

Another week, another candidate makes it official. Pete Buttigieg, the 37 year old mayor of South Bend Indiana, threw his name in. With that, he makes his debut in the odds at 103.6X which puts him in 42nd place.

Here are the full odds:

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Views – 566