Category Archives: 2020 Weekly Odds

Donald Trump’s Odds Saw a Small Improvement; Paul Ryan Drops Ahead of Big Legislative Week; Booker and Cuomo Up

Donald Trump’s odds saw an uptick improving from 21.4% to 21.6%, and payout for those betting on him decreased from 3.0X to 2.9X. Both of these are exactly he was two weeks ago.

Paul Ryan’s odds dropped ahead of a big legislative week.  His payout increased from 26.6X to 27.3X.  He remains in 8th place

On the Democratic side, Cory Booker’s odds improved as his payout decreased from 22.9X to 22.4X.  This is the best he has been in 6 weeks. He remains in 6th place overall and 4th among the Democrats (behind Warren, Obama, and Clinton).

Andrew Cuomo also saw his odds improve as his payout dropped from 29.5X to 28.8X. This is right around the average of where he has been (28.5X) since the tracking started post elections.

Here are the full odds:

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Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Big Lead Continues to Shrink; Sanders and Kennedy up for Dems; Hayley Improves Profile and Odds

The trend has continued of Donald Trump having a large but shrinking lead:  The payout is now up to 3X from 2.9X.  It was at 2.4X pre-inauguration.  The probability dropped from 21.6% to 21.4%.  It was at 26.9% pre-inauguration.

Bernie Sanders continues to stay relevant, with his payout declining from 23X to 22.9X.  That was enough for him to jump into a tie for 6th place with Cory Booker.

Nikki Haley continues to increase her profile through her UN position.  Her payout has dropped from 56.3X to 53.6X. That puts her in 24th place.

Joseph P Kennedy joined the list at 23rd place with a payout of 55X.  This week he moves up to 21st place with a payout of 45.8X.

Here are the full odds:

Follow me on twitter @2016ElectOdds for updates

Views – 605

Updated Election Odds: Trump’s Big Lead Continues to Shrink; Haley Moves up with Higher Profile; Booker Up; Clinton Down

Donald Trump continued to have a large lead (nearly 4 times the probability of Elizabeth Warren, the closest Democrat to him).  That lead continues to shrink however.  His probability is down from 22.2% last week to 21.6% this week.  It peaked just before the inauguration at 26.9%. $1 on Trump currently pays out an average of $2.9.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton seemed to be raising her profile a bit this past week with some public statements.  That did not help her odds.   Her payout increased from 21.4X to 21.9X.  Her odds were highest 4 weeks ago when the payout was at 20.6X. She remains in 5th place.

Cory Booker rebounded from his drop last week.  He jumps over Bernie Sanders for 6th place as his payout decreased from 23.1X to 22.9X.

The biggest mover of the week was Nikki Haley whose profile increased with her speech in the U.N on Syria.  Her payoff dropped from 64.5X to 56.3X.  That was enough to move her from 27th place to 24th place.

Here are the full odds: 

Views – 610