Hillary Clinton was by far the biggest mover of the week increasing her odds from 39.4% to 41.1%.  It appears her strategy of avoiding the media and making Chipotle cameos is working.  This is the highest she has been since August.

Marco Rubio had the second largest gain following his announcement and media blitz.  He stays in 3rd overall but gains 0.5% to 4.7%, his highest probability since November. This is the smallest gap with Jeb Bush since beginning of February

Scott Walker is up 0.3% to 4.3% just behind Rubio.  He seems to be the candidate generating the most enthusiasm among Republicans.

Two top tier candidates tumbled in the odds but mainatined their place.  Elizabeth Warren decreased from 2.5% to 2.3%.  This is the lowest since July but she is still in 6th place. Chris Christie decreased from 2.2% to 1.8%.  This is the lowest he has been but he stays in 7th place overall.

Mike Huckabee up to 13th from 22nd just two weeks ago as he will make an announcement on whether he will run in May.

Andrew Cuomo was down to 15th, lowest since August and 7th among Democrats, as there has been zero buzz about the possibility of him running.

Other movements among top candidates:

Ted Cruz moves up to #9, the highest he’s been.

Kerry up to 14th, the highest he has been.

Jim Webb up 3 to 17th.

Bobby Jindal down to 18th. Was in 12th in Mid March

Here’s the full list of candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 929

Even with Hillary Clinton set to announce her candidacy on Sunday there was very little change at the top.  Clinton’s odds were up slightly to 39.4%.  This is the highest they have been since first week of January.

The top 10 remained the same although there was movement in the odds.

Scott Walker picked up ground on Jeb Bush as Walker improved by 0.1% to 4.0% while Bush dropped 0.2% to 11.7%.  There was a recent NH poll that showed Walker ahead of Bush in that state.  Bush and Walker remain in 2nd and 4th place respectively.

The other candidate to announce this week was Rand Paul.  The announcement did not help as he dropped 0.1% to 2.6%.  He remains in 5th overall slightly ahead of Elizabeth Warren.

Chris Christie continued his slide dropping to 2.2% from 2.3%.  He has now dropped in 10 straight weeks from 3.4% (4th at the time) to the current 7th place.  Let’s see if he’s able to make a comeback in the spring.

Martin O’Malley is set to announce whether he is running or not in May.  He moved up from 13th place to 11th place, jumping over Democratic rivals Andrew Cuomo and Kirsten Gillibrand.    He is now in 4th place for the Democratic nomination.

Mike Huckabee is up 5 places to 17th place.  Huckabee was in 26th place at the beginning of the year prior to announcing he would leave Fox to consider a run.

Here’s a full list of candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 925

Hillary Clinton continues her strong lead.  At 38.8% she is more than 15 times as likely to win her party’s nomination as the next candidate, Elizabeth Warren.  Warren continues to say she is not running although many see her as the best liberal candidate.  Warren was down on the week from 2.6% to 2.5%.

At 11.9%, Jeb Bush is nearly 3 times as likely a candidate as his next republican competitor Marco Rubio at 4.3%.

Scott Walker, the hottest recent candidate seems to have cooled off.  He drops from 4.1% to 3.9%, his lowest probability in a month. He remains safely in 4th place overall.

Chris Christie continues to decline at 2.3% from 2.4%.  This is the lowest he has been since August 2014. He remains in 7th overall.

Ben Carson rises from 23rd to 18th place as he is expected to announce his candidacy first week of May.

Another candidate expected to announce is Carly Fiorina who says there’s more than a 90% chance she will run. She makes her debut in 26th place.

Here’s the full list of candidates:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 981