Hillary Clinton strengthened her grip on the nomination post Super Tuesday.  Her odds are now at 57%, up from 50%.

Part of this gain came at the expense of Bernie Sanders.  Sanders  dropped from 6.4% to 3.5%.  He has now decreased for three straight week and is at his lowest point since the beginning of the year.

Donald Trump continued to be in second place, but dropped slightly coming in at 23.9% down from 25.3%.  These odds are as of Saturday, and may reflect not only his wins on Super Tuesday, but the attacks coming after from the Republican party establishment.

The biggest move on the Republican side is the drop for Marco Rubio who moved from 11.9% to 6%.  This is the lowest he has been since the end of September. He remains third overall.

The drops for Rubio meant that Ted Cruz and John Kasich were a more likely alternative to Trump than before.  Cruz’s odds improved from 1.2% to 2.6%.  Kasich improved from 1.1% to 2.5%.  There is a disconnect between Kasich’s odds, and the fact that he has not won any primaries.  At this point he is no where near Rubio or Cruz from a delegate perspective, but his odds are very close to Cruz’s with some oddsmakers putting him ahead.

Ben Carson could not see a way forward for his campaign and pulled out of the campaign.  His moment was in late October and early November when he was 6th overall and 4th among Republicans.

There is still no word on whether Michael Bloomberg will run, but the window is beginning to close.  His odds dropped from 2.25% (and ahead of Cruz and Kasich) to 1.8% which is 7th place, behind all remaining candidates.

Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan got a jump in odds. Romney from 0.4% to 0.8% and Ryan from 0.3% to 0.8% as the unpredictability of how the primaries and elections increased.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

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Hillary Clinton continued to lead, although her odds plummeted from 59.7% to 49.8%.  Most of the drop was gained by  Donald Trump.   This is the lowest Clinton has been since October and the smallest lead she has had the entire race.

With big wins in South Carolina and Nevada, Donald Trump improves from 13.6% to 25.3%.  This is by far the highest any Republican candidate has been.

Marco Rubio also improved from 9.8% to 11.9% as he has become the clear alternative to Trump.  He has improved the last two weeks, but is still not close to his high of 19.7% three weeks ago.

Bernie Sanders continues in fourth at 6.4% down from 7.5%.  This is the lowest he has been in the last three weeks.

Ted Cruz drops from 5th place to seventh place falling behind to undeclared candidates in Michael Bloomberg and Joe Biden. He drops from 3.0% to 1.2%.  This is his lowest point in 18 weeks.

John Kasich improved slightly from 0.9% to 1.1%.

Jeb Bush ended his campaign.  He was in 7th place last week and was the early Republican favorite peaking at 14% in August of 2015.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

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Even with Nevada polls showing a tossup in a state thought to have been a Hillary Clinton lock, the odds improved for Clinton from 58.8% to 59.7%.  That is her second straight improvement and the highest she has been in a month.

Donald Trump was steady in second, down slightly from 14.0% to 13.8% as the one day Pope controversy seems to have had no impact.

Marco Rubio was the biggest mover of the week up to 3rd place at 9.8%.  This gain came largely at the expense of Jeb Bush.

Bush was down from 3.7% to 1.7%, dropping him from 5th to 7th place as he falls behind both Ted Cruz and Michael Bloomberg.

Ted Cruz continues to be the most interesting as his results in the polls are much higher than the odds he gets.   He drops 0.6% to 3.0%.

Bernie Sanders comes in 4th place at 7.5%.  He has been in the 6%-8% range for the last six weeks.

Michael Bloomberg came in 6th place.  He has been in the top 7 the last four weeks as he considers the possibility of running.

Here are the full odds:

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Views – 857