Very little change in the odds near the top this week:
Joe Biden improved from 4.57X to 4.54X, his a new all time high but only slightly higher than the 4.55X achieved 5 weeks ago.
Kamala Harris saw a small decline from 5.52X to 5.55X. That is a new low for her, but only slight worse than the 5.53X she saw 3 weeks ago.
Donald Trump also saw a small decline from 5.61X to 5.63X, his lowest in 4 weeks.
The biggest moves outside of the top group was improvement for Ted Cruz from 41.3X to 40.2X. That is his best in 6 weeks and good enough to move him from 10th to 9th overall, jumping over Tucker Carlson.
Michelle Obama had one of the larger improvements from 57.5X to 53.0X, her best in 5 weeks. This was enough to move her up from 17th place to 16th place, her highest position in 8 weeks.
Biden’s odds resumed their recent downward trend dropping from 4.56X to 4.61X. That is still higher than where it was two weeks ago, at the peak of the Afghanistan evacuations.
Kamala Harris saw a very small improvement from 5.53X to 5.50X. That is still her second lowest odds, behind just last week’s low.
Donald Trump continued to see his odds improve. The rose from 5.97X to 5.59X, just below Harris. The 5.59X is another new high, his third in a row. He was at 7.63X just four weeks ago. This week saw a poll released showing Trump would edge Biden if the elections were held today (47% vs. 46%)
Here are the top 50, with DeSantis leading the next group, but he has less than half the odds of Trump:
Despite the Airport bombing in Afghanistan, Biden’s odds rebounded from last week’s fault, improving from 4.71X to 4.56X. This is slightly worse than the cycle high of 4.55X from two weeks ago, prior to the beginning of the Afghanistan evacuation.
Donald Trump saw a large jump from 6.87X to 5.97X, a second new high in a row. At this pace he will catch Harris for second place next week.
Kamala Harris resumed her downward trend from 5.30X to 5.53X, a new low. She has declined in 7 of the last 8 weeks.