Trump’s odds highest since the start of March while Biden’s odds jump with endorsements from Sanders, Warren, and Obama; Poll shows AZ in Biden’s column, resulting in a bigger electoral lead

This week, Trump’s odds improved from 1.89X to 1.88X, his highest since the first week in March. This despite recent drops in his favorability: dropped from 44.4% last week and 45.8% two weeks ago to 44.0% this week.

Joe Biden’s odds improved from 2.24X to 2.19X, his highest since the middle of March. This week was a big endorsement week for the former VP as Sanders, Warren, and Obama all endorsed Biden.

The relative odds would suggest Trump has a 53.8% to 46.2% edge over Biden, the lowest in the last three weeks.

Here are the full odds:

Possible swing state polls released this week included:

  • Poll Showing Biden +1 in NC
  • Poll showing Trump +7 in NC
  • Poll showing Biden +9 in AZ

That moved the projection of AZ from split to Biden.

Current projection now of 316 Biden to 222 Trump. Here are the details:

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