Trump’s odds set a new high ahead of likely acquittal in the Senate; Sanders continues to surge; Klobuchar and Yang peaking at right time for Iowa?

Donald Trump’s Odds reached a new high during a week where the Republican Senate voted against allowing witnesses in the impeachment trial, leading to a likely acquittal next week. The odds improved from 1.75X to 1.68X. His previous high was two weeks ago at 1.72X. His odds against the top 5 Democrats improved from 53.3% to 54.5%. The odds of the top 5 Democrats saw a small drop from 2.00X to 2.02X.

Bernie Sanders continued to be the hottest name as polls continued to see him surging. His odds reached a new high for a second week in a row climbing from 5.61X to 5.15X. The high for the Democrats this cycle is still held by Warren who was at 3.32X in October, around the time Sanders had his heart attack.

Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg continued to decline. Warren declined from 23.8X to 31.6X, that is the 16th decline in a row, ever since hitting the all time high mentioned above. This is her lowest since May 2019.

Pete Buttigieg dropped from 37.7X to 45.7X. This is his 9th drop in a row and his lowest since March 2019.

The drops by Warren and Buttigieg gave hope to Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang. Klobuchar might be peaking at the right time for Iowa. Her odds improved from 99.8X to 79.4X. That still leaves her in 9th place behind undeclared Hillary Clinton (49.8X).

Andrew Yang’s odds improved from 44.2X to 37.9X. That’s significant because it means he passed Pete Buttigieg for 6th place overall (and got added to the graph below)

Here is a trend of the top candidates as well as the odds of the top 20:

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