Trump’s odds reach a new high on eve of Senate trial; Biden’s odds improve as friction between Warren and Sanders increases; Bloomberg odds climb along with him catching Trump’s attention

Donald Trump’s Odds continued climbing on the eve of the Senate Impeachment trial, jumping this week from 1.82X to 1.72X. another new high, the third in a row. His odds against the top 5 Democrats improved to 54.3% over last week’s 52.1% as their combined odds dropped from 1.98X to 2.05X.

The Democrats held their 7th debate, and based on the odds, the person that benefited the most is Joe Biden. It seems Democrats that were betting on him imploding are coming to grips he will not. His odds improved from 5.79X to 5.60X, his second highest odds since July (highest two weeks ago at 5.51X)

The main story before and during the debate is the friction between Sanders and Warren. The combination of the debate and the controversy had very little impact on Sanders’ odds. He had a small drop from 6.41X (his high for this cycle) to 6.47X. Warren on the other hand continued to drop, this week from 17.3X to 20.5X. her lowest since June.

Warren wasn’t the only Democrat to see a big drop on the week. Buttigieg dropped from 21.5X to 31.2X, his lowest since March 2019. Amy Klobuchar dropped from 67.3X to 82.7X, her lowest in the last 9 weeks.

Michael Bloomberg didn’t participate in the debate, but the fact that he’s now on Trump’s radar speaks to the potential of his candidacy being problematic to Trump. His odds improved from 13.8X to 13.4X another new high.

Below are how the odds changed for the debate participants, a trend of the top candidates, and the overall odds of the top 25:

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