Updated Election Forecast: Trump Continues to Shrink Clinton’s Big Lead and NC and VA Appear to be Tossups

Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump in the most recent forecast 306 to 232 although Trump continues to shrink that lead.

In under three weeks, Trump has shrunk Clinton’s lead from 108 electoral votes to 74.

Two state forecasts changed in the last few days:

  • VA poll that showed a tie which lead the forecast to move the state into tossup from lean D.
  • Two different NC polls showed Trump +4 after previous polls showed Clinton in the lead.  This led to the classification of the state as a tossup from lean D.

Other polls released confirmed the current forecasts:

  • Two CA polls one showed Clinton +14 and one Clinton +10 confirmed CA as solid D
  • NJ Poll showed Clinton +11 confirmed the state as solid D

Here is the state by state forecast:

May 26 2016 Forecast

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

Click here for list of changes from prior forecasts

Click here for results from last 5 elections

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