Updated Weekly Odds: Rubio out; Clinton Opens up Lead over Sanders; Kasich Passes Cruz

Hillary Clinton continued to strengthen her lead.  She improved from 58% to 63.2%.  This is her third straight increase and the highest she has been since early January.

Donald Trump improved slightly from 22.7% to 23.4%.  He has been the clear leader the last 4 weeks at close to 25%.

John Kasich’s Ohio win meant that he had the biggest move of the week.  He is now clearly the “establishment” candidate.  He jumps into third place up from 3.5% to 3.8%.  He was in 5th place last week behind both Sanders and Cruz and 8th place three weeks ago behind the likes of Rubio and Bloomberg.

Bernie Sanders suffered the biggest loss of any candidate as his odds dropped from 6.7% to 3.6%.   This week was the largest gap between Clinton and Sanders since early January.

Ted Cruz was one of the big Republican losers on the week.  He dropped from 4.3% to 3.0% largely due to Kasich winning Ohio and keeping this a three man race.

The biggest loser of the week was Marco Rubio whose campaign ended with his loss in his home state of Florida.  Rubio dropped from 2.0% to out of the odds as he suspended his campaign.   For a long time late last year, Rubio was considered the top Republican candidate.  He peaked at 19.7% in early February (after the Iowa caucus where Trump struggled and Rubio briefly jumped to 2nd).

The non candidates continue to show some action.  Joe Biden is up for the third straight week at 1.5% from 1.3%.

He is followed by Paul  Ryan who is up to 0.9% from 0.8%. He has now been up for 4 straight weeks.

Mitt Romney was flat at 0.7%.

Here are the odds:

March 19 2016 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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