Updated Weekly Odds: Trump Continues to Gain Momentum at Cruz’s Expense; Clinton’s Lead Shrinks; Bloomberg Jumps; Ryan a Possibility?

A few days before the Iowa caucus has Hillary Clinton dropping slightly from 59.7% to 59%.  She holds a solid lead, although this is the lowest she has been since the end of October, and the smallest lead over second place since August.

The major reason for Clinton’s shrinking lead is the momentum that Donald Trump has.  He gains another 0.9% to 16.3%. This is the seventh straight week of increases.  At the start of that streak he was only at 0.9%.

Trump’s gain comes at the expense of Ted Cruz who drops 0.7% to 2.4%.  He has now dropped for five straight weeks and is at his lowest since the middle of November.

Speculation that Bloomberg might run has catapulted him to seventh place.  He was up by 1.2% to 1.6%.  This is the highest he has been.

One peculiar jump was from Paul Ryan.  He jumped from 15th place to 10th place improving from 0.2% to 0.3%.  Perhaps that is a play on Bloomberg jumping in resulting in no one winning the electoral college and sending it to a vote in the house.

Here are the full odds:

January 30 2016 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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