Updated Odds: Clinton Continues Hot Streak; Cruz Closing Gap on Rubio; Second Tier Candidates Struggle

Although there was no changes in the positioning of the top 10 candidates, the odds themselves changed.

Hillary Clinton continued to expand her enormous lead from 64.5% to 65.1%. That is the 12th straight week of increase starting at just 39.2% back in the beginning of October.

Marco Rubio continues to be in second but had a big drop from 11.7% to 10.7%.  He has dropped for three straight weeks when he peaked at 12.2%.

Rubio’s drop was captured entirely by Ted Cruz, who continues in 4th place but gains 1.3% to 4.9%.  He remains the hottest candidate in the field having been up for 13 straight weeks from a just 0.8% in the middle of September.

Donald Trump continues to run third at 7.3% up 0.2% from the prior week.  He has been fairly steady in the 7% range the last 4 weeks.

Jeb Bush resumed his decline to 2.5% from 2.9%.  That is the lowest he has been.

Bernie Sanders remains Clinton’s top competition for the Democrats, but drops once again to 2.3% from 2.5%.  He has dropped eight straight weeks since peaking at 6.0%.

Chris Christie seems to be the only other viable candidate (probably because of his polling in NH).  He is in 7th place and steady at 1.8%.

The rest of the top 10 seems to be on life support:

Carson drops 0.2% to 0.4% and had dropped for 7 straight weeks.

John Kasich drops 0.1% to 0.3% and has dropped 11 straight weeks.

Carly Fiorina drops 0.1% to 0.3% and has dropped 9 straight weeks.

Here are the full odds:

December 19 2015 pres odds

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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