Updated Weekly Odds: Winners and Losers from Second Republican Debate; Clinton Continues Decline with Sanders and Biden Gaining

The winner of the second Republican debate appears to be Carly Fiorina. Her probability jumped from 1.2% to 2.1%.  That was enough to for her to jump over Ben Carson for 9th place overall.  She is also within 0.1% from both John Kasich and Scott Walker.

It appears Donald Trump may be losing momentum: He was up the this week’s gain of 0.2% is his smallest in two months.   He is still securely in third place behind Jeb Bush and Hillary Clinton.

Ben Carson continued his momentum gaining 0.3% to 1.8% strengthening his position in the top 10.

Recent struggles continued for Scott Walker and Rand Paul.  Walker dropped 0.2% to 2.2%.  That puts him in 7th place overall but it his his lowest percentage since the end of January.

Ran Paul dropped from 11th to 14th.  Just four weeks ago Paul was in 9th place and nine weeks ago he was in 6th place.

On the Democratic side Hillary Clinton continues to have a strong but shrinking lead.  She drops another 2.2% to 39.4%.  That is her lowest percentage in over 5 months.

Bernie Sanders has the biggest jump of the week from 4.2% to 5.3%.  That was enough for him to jump over Joe Biden for 4th place.

Biden continued his momentum as well improving by 0.4% to 5.1%.  Over the last 12 weeks he has more than doubled his odds.

Here is a list of all the candidates:

September 19 2015 pres ods

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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