Updated Odds: Clinton’s Lead Shrinking with Trump, Biden, Sanders Gaining; Carson Moving into Top Tier While Rick Perry Pulls Out

There were no changes in the standings of the top 8 this week, but there was a lot of movement in the percentages.

Hillary Clinton declined for the fourth straight week down 2.2% to 41.6%.   That is the lowest she has been since April.  She still has close to a 30% lead over second place Jeb Bush.

Bush also declined but by a smaller margin.  He fell 0.2% to 12.3%.  His lead over Donald Trump continues to shrink and is now less than 4%.

Trump continued his hot streak and was up 1.1% to 8.5%.  Trump was at less than 3% just a month ago and less than 1% two months ago.

Fourth place continues to be  Joe Biden as speculation about him running continues to drive up his odds.  This week he is up to 4.7% from 4.2%.  That increases his lead over 5th place Bernie Sanders, despite Sanders continued improvement.

Sanders improves 0.3% to 4.2%.  He has regained momentum that he lost when the Biden speculation began a month ago.  Sanders had reached as high as 3rd overall back in the middle of August.

Another candidate that is looking to turn it around is 6th place Marco Rubio.  After declining in 8 out of 9 weeks, Rubio seems to have found the bottom and has been up the last two weeks.  This week he is up 0.2% to 3.8%.

The “non-politician” candidates continue to gain ground on the Republican side.  Ben Carson is surging improving from 1% last week to 1.5% this week.  He has doubled his odds in just two weeks and is now in in 9th place, as he jumps over fellow non politician Carly Fiorina.

Despite being jumped by Carson, Fiorina’s odds increased by 0.2% to 1.2%.  This is her second week in the top 10.

Rick Perry “suspended” his campaign and he immediately dropped from 38th place to 52nd place.  He is the first candidate to pull out. The odds would suggest Jim Gilmore will do the same soon.

Here are the full standings for the week:

September 12 2015 pres ods

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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