Updated Weekly Odds: Bush, Rubio, and Sanders Continue Hot Streak; Jindal Enters Race; Clinton Steady

Hillary Clinton extended her streak of being between 41% and 42% probability of winning to 11 weeks.  She is more than three times more likely to win the presidency than her next competitor.

Jeb Bush has been hot the last two weeks moving from 10.8% to 11.9%.  Although he has shrunk the gap with Clinton to 30%, it has been at the expense of candidates seen less and less likely to run.

After dropping slightly last week as a result of Bush’s announcement, Marco Rubio resumed his hot streak moving from 6.1% to 6.3%.  His odds have increased nearly 50% since April.

The hottest candidate continues to be Bernie Sanders. Since May 30th, he has moved from 27th place to this week’s current 6th place. To get there he leapfrogged Elizabeth Warren to become the primary challenger to Clinton on the Democratic side.

It was Bobby Jindal’s turn to enter the race this week.  The announcement did not move his odds at all.  Just like last week, he is at 0.6% and in 25th place.  Jindal was once considered one of the top candidates, peaking at 9th place in July of 2014.

Here is a list of all the candidates:

June 27 2015 pres trend

 

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

 

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