Updated Odds: Clinton and Bush Maintain Lead, Carson Picking up Steam, Fiorina Makes Debut

 

Hillary Clinton continues her strong lead.  At 38.8% she is more than 15 times as likely to win her party’s nomination as the next candidate, Elizabeth Warren.  Warren continues to say she is not running although many see her as the best liberal candidate.  Warren was down on the week from 2.6% to 2.5%.

At 11.9%, Jeb Bush is nearly 3 times as likely a candidate as his next republican competitor Marco Rubio at 4.3%.

Scott Walker, the hottest recent candidate seems to have cooled off.  He drops from 4.1% to 3.9%, his lowest probability in a month. He remains safely in 4th place overall.

Chris Christie continues to decline at 2.3% from 2.4%.  This is the lowest he has been since August 2014. He remains in 7th overall.

Ben Carson rises from 23rd to 18th place as he is expected to announce his candidacy first week of May.

Another candidate expected to announce is Carly Fiorina who says there’s more than a 90% chance she will run. She makes her debut in 26th place.

Here’s the full list of candidates:

April 4 2015 pres odds

 

Link to the trend for the top 10 candidates

For updates follow me @2016ElectOdds

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